Saginaw Swan Valley's projected record is 5.5 - 3.5
| Date | Team | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug. 29, 2024 | Croswell-Lexington | 22.6
| 65.0% |
33 |
|
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 9.4 |
35.0% |
26 |
|
| Sept. 6, 2024 | Frankenmuth | 42.4
| 96.0% |
63 |
|
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 29.2 |
4.0% |
27 |
|
| Sept. 13, 2024 | Freeland | 33.2
| 85.0% |
34 |
|
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 20.0 |
15.0% |
0 |
|
| Sept. 20, 2024 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 69.0% |
49 |
|
| Bay City John Glenn | 3.6
| 9.6 |
31.0% |
21 |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Essexville Garber | -15.3
| 5.0% |
||
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| -28.5 |
95.0% |
||
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 99.0% |
||
| Bridgeport | -36.4
| 49.6 |
1.0% |
||
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 90.0% |
||
| Flint Powers Catholic | -10.4
| 23.6 |
10.0% |
||
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Alma | -21.5
| 3.0% |
||
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| -34.7 |
97.0% |
||
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Midland Bullock Creek | 2.3
| 27.0% |
||
| Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| -10.9 |
73.0% |
Saginaw Swan Valley's most likely first round playoff opponent is Flint Hamady
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flint Hamady | 22.8% | 7.4
| -5.7 |
57.0% |
| Frankenmuth | 18.9% | 42.4
| 29.2 |
4.0% |
| Corunna | 17.6% | 29.1
| 15.9 |
19.0% |
| Belding | 15.8% | 21.8
| 8.6 |
35.0% |
| Clare | 14.2% | 36.7
| 23.5 |
11.0% |
| Williamston | 4.6% | 22.5
| 9.3 |
35.0% |
| Flint Powers Catholic | 2.2% | -10.4
| -23.6 |
90.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 2.1% | 48.5
| 35.4 |
3.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 1.0% | 10.7
| -2.4 |
52.0% |
| Ogemaw Heights | 0.2% | 29.7
| 16.5 |
18.0% |
| Gladwin | 0.1% | 29.1
| 16.0 |
19.0% |
| Armada | 0.1% | 28.4
| 15.2 |
20.0% |
| Kingsford | 0.1% | 20.6
| 7.4 |
41.0% |
| Lake Odessa Lakewood | 0.1% | -8.6
| -21.7 |
88.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frankenmuth | 16.7% | 42.4
| 29.2 |
4.0% |
| Clare | 4.2% | 36.7
| 23.5 |
11.0% |
| Corunna | 3.3% | 29.1
| 15.9 |
19.0% |
| Williamston | 2.6% | 22.5
| 9.3 |
35.0% |
| Belding | 1.7% | 21.8
| 8.6 |
35.0% |
| Howard City Tri County | 0.4% | 10.7
| -2.4 |
52.0% |
| Gladwin | 0.1% | 29.1
| 16.0 |
19.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 0.1% | 48.5
| 35.4 |
3.0% |
| Armada | 0.1% | 28.4
| 15.2 |
20.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gladwin | 0.9% | 29.1
| 16.0 |
19.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 0.6% | 48.5
| 35.4 |
3.0% |
| Ogemaw Heights | 0.6% | 29.7
| 16.5 |
18.0% |
| Kingsford | 0.5% | 20.6
| 7.4 |
41.0% |
| Clare | 0.5% | 36.7
| 23.5 |
11.0% |
| Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | 0.1% | -2.5
| -15.6 |
81.0% |
| Whitmore Lake | 0.1% | -13.6
| -26.8 |
94.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grand Rapids West Catholic | 0.4% | 40.4
| 27.2 |
6.0% |
| Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 0.2% | 48.5
| 35.4 |
3.0% |
| First Round Opponent | Odds You Play Them | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Prob. |
|---|
This is how Saginaw Swan Valley's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA