Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 2 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Orchard Lake St Mary's
59.2
1.0
6.3-2.7
100.0%
95.0%
88.0%
76.0%
49.0%
40.0%
2 Warren De La Salle Collegiate
51.6
-1.0
6.1-1.9
100.0%
88.0%
61.0%
35.0%
17.0%
12.0%
3 Grosse Pointe South
51.5
0.0
8.4-0.6
100.0%
88.0%
60.0%
33.0%
15.0%
10.0%
4 Birmingham Groves
51.2
0.0
8.8-0.2
100.0%
95.0%
73.0%
41.0%
20.0%
13.0%
5 East Lansing
45.3
2.0
6.6-2.4
100.0%
85.0%
67.0%
56.0%
36.0%
12.0%
6 Roseville
42.5
14.0
6.1-2.9
97.0%
61.0%
24.0%
11.0%
4.0%
2.0%
7 Grand Rapids Northview
41.7
9.0
8.5-0.5
100.0%
65.0%
39.0%
22.0%
11.0%
3.0%
8 Portage Northern
41.0
2.0
7.3-1.7
100.0%
80.0%
53.0%
27.0%
14.0%
3.0%
9 Muskegon Mona Shores
39.1
3.0
7.2-1.8
100.0%
61.0%
33.0%
18.0%
9.0%
2.0%
10 Lansing Everett
36.6
-5.0
6.8-2.3
99.0%
65.0%
33.0%
21.0%
9.0%
2.0%
11 Byron Center
36.0
-2.0
7.0-2.0
98.0%
55.0%
26.0%
13.0%
6.0%
1.0%
12 Muskegon
34.0
6.0
4.7-3.3
90.0%
43.0%
17.0%
8.0%
3.0%
1.0%
13 Dexter
30.7
1.0
7.5-1.5
100.0%
69.0%
33.0%
13.0%
3.0%
0.0%
14 Caledonia
28.1
1.0
5.6-3.4
83.0%
28.0%
9.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
15 Birmingham Seaholm
28.0
2.0
6.4-2.6
99.0%
57.0%
8.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16 Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern
26.2
-8.0
4.4-4.6
56.0%
16.0%
5.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
17 Flushing
23.7
-11.0
6.2-1.8
77.0%
34.0%
16.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
18 Detroit U of D Jesuit
23.7
-7.0
3.3-5.7
9.0%
4.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
19 Saginaw Heritage
23.6
8.0
5.1-3.9
37.0%
19.0%
9.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Midland
23.6
11.0
6.6-2.5
96.0%
48.0%
22.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
21 Mattawan
23.2
4.0
5.3-3.7
86.0%
23.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice
23.0
22.0
2.0-7.0
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Portage Central
21.8
-2.0
4.5-4.5
58.0%
15.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Livonia Franklin
21.2
2.0
4.0-4.0
62.0%
34.0%
20.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 White Lake Lakeland
19.0
15.0
6.5-2.5
100.0%
48.0%
9.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 North Farmington
18.9
2.0
4.6-4.4
79.0%
25.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Harrison Township L'Anse Creuse
18.6
6.0
4.7-4.3
69.0%
9.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Gibraltar Carlson
17.5
-6.0
8.1-0.9
100.0%
62.0%
24.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Milford
17.2
8.0
6.5-2.5
100.0%
35.0%
7.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Farmington
17.1
6.0
5.7-3.3
81.0%
26.0%
8.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Muskegon Reeths-Puffer
16.6
-2.0
2.8-6.2
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Midland Dow
16.2
-2.0
4.9-4.1
69.0%
28.0%
10.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Marquette
15.2
-20.0
5.9-3.1
28.0%
11.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Port Huron Northern
14.2
-11.0
5.3-3.8
89.0%
12.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Ferndale
13.3
-11.0
6.2-2.8
95.0%
27.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Traverse City West
11.0
-17.0
5.5-3.5
58.0%
13.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Allen Park
8.6
-2.0
7.5-1.5
100.0%
36.0%
10.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 South Lyon East
7.0
14.0
5.4-3.6
65.0%
11.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Warren Mott
5.7
2.0
6.5-2.5
85.0%
12.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Temperance Bedford
4.9
-2.0
4.1-4.9
38.0%
10.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Flint Carman-Ainsworth
3.4
1.0
1.7-7.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Traverse City Central
2.5
-8.0
3.0-6.0
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Livonia Churchill
1.2
-4.0
2.5-5.5
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Warren Cousino
0.0
-12.0
4.7-4.3
36.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 South Lyon
-5.1
4.0
3.7-5.3
25.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Ypsilanti Lincoln
-5.3
5.0
3.3-5.7
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Fraser
-6.6
0.0
3.2-5.8
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Lincoln Park
-6.9
-3.0
4.6-4.4
12.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Waterford Mott
-7.0
1.0
3.0-5.0
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Berkley
-7.6
4.0
2.5-6.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Battle Creek Lakeview
-9.8
-8.0
2.7-6.3
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Dearborn Heights Crestwood
-10.5
-4.0
4.3-4.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Battle Creek Central
-10.5
-7.0
1.4-7.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Walled Lake Central
-12.7
-1.0
3.1-5.9
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Wyoming
-14.1
2.0
1.2-7.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Royal Oak
-15.8
-1.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Detroit Renaissance
-26.7
-1.0
2.4-5.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Wyandotte Roosevelt
-28.0
0.0
0.4-8.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Wayne Memorial
-30.6
1.0
0.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
-37.1
-1.0
0.6-8.4
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Detroit Mumford
-47.7
0.0
0.9-7.1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Sterling Heights
-65.1
0.0
0.1-8.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 2 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Oct. 19, 2024 Marquette
15.2
59.0%
28.0%
Cadillac
8.4
6.8
41.0%
51.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern
26.2
69.0%
56.0%
Muskegon Reeths-Puffer
16.6
9.7
31.0%
4.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Middleville Thornapple Kellogg
7.8
99.0%
56.0%
Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills
-37.1
44.9
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Grand Rapids Union
-14.8
1.0%
0.0%
Grand Rapids Forest Hills Northern
26.2
-41.0
99.0%
56.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Wyoming
-14.1
12.0%
0.0%
Middleville Thornapple Kellogg
7.8
-21.9
88.0%
56.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Flint Carman-Ainsworth
3.4
50.0%
0.0%
Bay City Western
3.7
-0.3
50.0%
57.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Bay City Western
3.7
51.0%
57.0%
Traverse City Central
2.5
1.2
49.0%
6.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Portage Central
21.8
73.0%
58.0%
Kalamazoo Central
10.5
11.3
27.0%
36.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Battle Creek Lakeview
-9.8
4.0%
1.0%
Portage Central
21.8
-31.6
96.0%
58.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Traverse City West
11.0
59.0%
58.0%
Bay City Western
3.7
7.3
41.0%
57.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Traverse City Central
2.5
35.0%
6.0%
Traverse City West
11.0
-8.5
65.0%
58.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Traverse City West
11.0
53.0%
58.0%
Mount Pleasant
7.9
3.1
47.0%
52.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Ypsilanti Lincoln
-5.3
31.0%
3.0%
Temperance Bedford
4.9
-10.2
69.0%
38.0%
Oct. 10, 2024 Ann Arbor Huron
-10.2
20.0%
6.0%
Temperance Bedford
4.9
-15.1
80.0%
38.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Livonia Franklin
21.2
85.0%
62.0%
Livonia Churchill
1.2
20.0
15.0%
1.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 2

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