Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.
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Fenton's projected record is 6.6 - 1.4

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 29, 2024 Fenton
22.5
57.0%
28
Midland Dow
16.2
6.3
43.0%
14
Sept. 6, 2024 Fenton
22.5
53.0%
21
Haslett
19.7
2.8
47.0%
14
Sept. 13, 2024 Fenton
22.5
89.0%
39
Swartz Creek
-0.3
22.7
11.0%
19
Sept. 20, 2024 Fenton
22.5
93.0%
24
Holly
-3.8
26.2
7.0%
7
Sept. 27, 2024 Fenton
22.5
97.0%
Flint Kearsley
-11.9
34.4
3.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Linden
11.7
27.0%
Fenton
22.5
-10.8
73.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Flushing
23.7
51.0%
Fenton
22.5
1.3
49.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Fenton
22.5
88.0%
To Be Determined (null)
0.0
22.5
12.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Mason
28.0
57.0%
Fenton
22.5
5.5
43.0%
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Fenton's most likely first round playoff opponent is Linden

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Linden 30.3%
11.7
-10.8
73.0%
Swartz Creek 10.6%
-0.3
-22.7
89.0%
Jackson 10.1%
14.5
-7.9
61.0%
Bay City John Glenn 7.8%
3.6
-18.9
84.0%
Redford Thurston 6.2%
-13.3
-35.8
97.0%
Auburn Hills Avondale 5.7%
19.5
-2.9
53.0%
Bay City Western 5.6%
3.7
-18.7
84.0%
Mason 4.5%
28.0
5.5
43.0%
St Johns 4.5%
27.6
5.2
45.0%
Ypsilanti Community 4.2%
2.1
-20.4
85.0%
Waterford Kettering 3.3%
-17.3
-39.8
99.0%
Garden City 2.7%
-12.1
-34.6
97.0%
Walled Lake Western 2.3%
35.7
13.2
22.0%
Jackson Northwest 0.6%
-15.7
-38.2
99.0%
Holly 0.4%
-3.8
-26.2
93.0%
Port Huron 0.4%
10.4
-12.0
77.0%
Flint Kearsley 0.3%
-11.9
-34.4
97.0%
Coldwater 0.1%
-4.2
-26.7
94.0%
Bay City Central 0.1%
-19.9
-42.3
99.0%
Oak Park 0.1%
6.3
-16.1
81.0%
Warren Fitzgerald 0.1%
-8.4
-30.9
96.0%
Mount Pleasant 0.1%
7.9
-14.5
80.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Walled Lake Western 26.9%
35.7
13.2
22.0%
Linden 14.1%
11.7
-10.8
73.0%
Mason 9.7%
28.0
5.5
43.0%
St Johns 7.0%
27.6
5.2
45.0%
Jackson 5.7%
14.5
-7.9
61.0%
Bay City Western 3.6%
3.7
-18.7
84.0%
Auburn Hills Avondale 2.0%
19.5
-2.9
53.0%
DeWitt 1.7%
51.1
28.7
4.0%
Swartz Creek 1.0%
-0.3
-22.7
89.0%
Bay City John Glenn 0.9%
3.6
-18.9
84.0%
Ypsilanti Community 0.3%
2.1
-20.4
85.0%
Petoskey 0.2%
29.0
6.5
41.0%
Redford Thurston 0.1%
-13.3
-35.8
97.0%
Port Huron 0.1%
10.4
-12.0
77.0%
Warren Fitzgerald 0.1%
-8.4
-30.9
96.0%
Waterford Kettering 0.1%
-17.3
-39.8
99.0%
Holly 0.1%
-3.8
-26.2
93.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Walled Lake Western 21.8%
35.7
13.2
22.0%
Auburn Hills Avondale 3.9%
19.5
-2.9
53.0%
Petoskey 1.1%
29.0
6.5
41.0%
Oak Park 1.0%
6.3
-16.1
81.0%
Mason 1.0%
28.0
5.5
43.0%
DeWitt 0.9%
51.1
28.7
4.0%
Ypsilanti Community 0.4%
2.1
-20.4
85.0%
Trenton 0.3%
1.8
-20.7
87.0%
Linden 0.3%
11.7
-10.8
73.0%
Detroit Martin Luther King 0.3%
28.3
5.9
43.0%
Greenville 0.2%
23.6
1.2
49.0%
Jackson 0.2%
14.5
-7.9
61.0%
Cedar Springs 0.2%
20.8
-1.6
52.0%
Garden City 0.1%
-12.1
-34.6
97.0%
Redford Thurston 0.1%
-13.3
-35.8
97.0%
River Rouge 0.1%
24.9
2.4
48.0%
Riverview 0.1%
21.8
-0.6
51.0%
St Johns 0.1%
27.6
5.2
45.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Detroit Martin Luther King 3.6%
28.3
5.9
43.0%
Riverview 2.0%
21.8
-0.6
51.0%
River Rouge 1.5%
24.9
2.4
48.0%
Auburn Hills Avondale 1.3%
19.5
-2.9
53.0%
Port Huron 0.6%
10.4
-12.0
77.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.3%
35.7
13.2
22.0%
Lowell 0.2%
39.5
17.0
18.0%
Southgate Anderson 0.1%
0.4
-22.0
88.0%
St Joseph 0.1%
41.3
18.9
16.0%
Zeeland West 0.1%
40.3
17.8
17.0%
East Grand Rapids 0.1%
41.3
18.9
16.0%
Coopersville 0.1%
30.2
7.8
39.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
DeWitt 2.6%
51.1
28.7
4.0%
St Joseph 0.6%
41.3
18.9
16.0%
East Grand Rapids 0.6%
41.3
18.9
16.0%
Zeeland West 0.4%
40.3
17.8
17.0%
Lowell 0.4%
39.5
17.0
18.0%
Mason 0.2%
28.0
5.5
43.0%
Petoskey 0.1%
29.0
6.5
41.0%
Coopersville 0.1%
30.2
7.8
39.0%
Walled Lake Western 0.1%
35.7
13.2
22.0%
Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills 0.1%
18.0
-4.4
54.0%
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This is how Fenton's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA