Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 8 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Harbor Beach
34.9
0.0
7.9-0.1
100.0%
98.0%
92.0%
77.0%
63.0%
41.0%
2 Fowler
34.0
0.0
8.5-0.5
100.0%
98.0%
86.0%
72.0%
64.0%
40.0%
3 Beal City
22.4
1.0
7.5-1.6
100.0%
92.0%
53.0%
43.0%
21.0%
6.0%
4 Riverview Gabriel Richard
18.0
-1.0
7.3-0.7
100.0%
94.0%
79.0%
59.0%
17.0%
6.0%
5 Clarkston Everest Collegiate
13.9
1.0
7.2-0.8
100.0%
94.0%
82.0%
26.0%
9.0%
2.0%
6 White Pigeon
13.0
3.0
7.9-1.2
100.0%
82.0%
55.0%
31.0%
9.0%
1.0%
7 Maple City Glen Lake
11.0
3.0
7.5-1.5
100.0%
73.0%
28.0%
10.0%
4.0%
1.0%
8 Ubly
9.1
5.0
4.6-4.4
98.0%
79.0%
7.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
9 Manchester
7.5
-4.0
6.4-1.6
100.0%
75.0%
41.0%
19.0%
4.0%
1.0%
10 Iron Mountain
6.3
2.0
8.3-0.7
100.0%
93.0%
47.0%
10.0%
3.0%
0.0%
11 Decatur
5.1
0.0
7.2-1.8
100.0%
65.0%
32.0%
14.0%
2.0%
0.0%
12 Saginaw Michigan Lutheran Seminary
2.5
-5.0
5.5-3.5
64.0%
37.0%
16.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
13 East Jordan
1.9
-5.0
7.1-1.9
100.0%
76.0%
38.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
14 Petersburg Summerfield
1.1
0.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
64.0%
22.0%
8.0%
0.0%
0.0%
15 Springport
-1.5
2.0
7.4-1.6
100.0%
65.0%
23.0%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16 Detroit Loyola
-1.9
3.0
5.0-4.0
100.0%
88.0%
46.0%
11.0%
1.0%
0.0%
17 Saugatuck
-6.3
8.0
5.8-3.2
100.0%
35.0%
7.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
18 Centreville
-6.6
2.0
3.9-5.2
24.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
19 Vassar
-9.6
2.0
4.2-4.8
79.0%
29.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Muskegon Catholic Central
-9.6
-5.0
3.1-4.9
73.0%
10.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Reese
-10.0
1.0
4.3-4.7
86.0%
31.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Marlette
-10.2
-6.0
3.3-5.7
23.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Sand Creek
-13.9
1.0
4.1-4.9
77.0%
16.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Addison
-17.5
-6.0
3.9-4.1
79.0%
17.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Unionville-Sebewaing
-18.2
-2.0
2.6-6.4
8.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Frankfort
-19.8
9.0
5.7-3.3
95.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Allen Park Cabrini
-21.3
-1.0
6.5-2.5
100.0%
17.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Reading
-22.7
0.0
3.3-5.7
54.0%
7.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Bark River-Harris
-23.0
7.0
4.5-4.5
92.0%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Potterville
-25.1
1.0
2.8-6.2
13.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Waterford Our Lady of the Lakes
-26.2
-4.0
4.4-4.6
95.0%
44.0%
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Marine City Cardinal Mooney
-26.4
-3.0
3.9-5.1
86.0%
16.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Mancelona
-26.5
4.0
3.7-5.3
58.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Rochester Hills Lutheran Northwest
-27.0
-2.0
5.7-3.3
91.0%
42.0%
10.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Vermontville Maple Valley
-28.5
-5.0
3.7-5.3
53.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Dansville
-32.4
2.0
1.2-7.8
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Hesperia
-39.0
5.0
2.3-6.7
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 White Cloud
-40.2
-5.0
2.5-6.5
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Madison Heights Madison
-40.3
0.0
2.2-6.8
33.0%
5.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 West Iron County
-41.6
6.0
3.4-5.6
13.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Arts & Technology Academy of Pontiac
-43.2
-7.0
4.6-4.4
97.0%
17.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Burton Bentley
-45.1
-1.0
4.4-4.6
50.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Mount Clemens
-45.5
4.0
5.5-3.6
89.0%
9.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Vandercook Lake
-47.5
-4.0
1.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Farwell
-49.1
3.0
1.5-6.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Gwinn
-50.1
-1.0
3.8-5.2
17.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Johannesburg-Lewiston
-52.4
-4.0
1.4-6.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Cassopolis
-53.6
1.0
0.5-7.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Detroit Community
-53.7
1.0
2.3-6.7
29.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Genesee
-57.9
1.0
3.6-5.4
7.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Detroit Leadership Academy
-59.8
7.0
2.3-6.7
8.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 East Jackson
-60.1
-8.0
0.1-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Detroit Douglass
-60.3
-1.0
1.7-6.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 L'Anse
-64.2
1.0
0.4-8.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Flint Beecher
-64.4
-1.0
2.1-6.9
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Melvindale Academy for Business & Tech
-67.7
0.0
1.8-7.2
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Southfield Bradford Academy
-72.8
2.0
0.7-8.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 International Academy of Flint
-73.7
-5.0
0.9-8.2
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Sterling Heights Parkway Christian
-77.6
-2.0
0.3-8.7
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Holton
-91.4
0.0
0.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 8 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Sept. 27, 2024 Pinconning
-8.8
99.0%
50.0%
Farwell
-49.1
40.3
1.0%
0.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Burton Bendle
-29.5
81.0%
36.0%
Burton Bentley
-45.1
15.6
19.0%
50.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Burton Bentley
-45.1
78.0%
50.0%
Genesee
-57.9
12.8
22.0%
7.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Flint New Standard Academy
-57.3
23.0%
0.0%
Burton Bentley
-45.1
-12.3
77.0%
50.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Burton Bentley
-45.1
61.0%
50.0%
New Haven
-53.3
8.2
39.0%
4.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Detroit Community
-53.7
4.0%
29.0%
Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
-30.8
96.0%
47.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
99.0%
47.0%
Melvindale Academy for Business & Tech
-67.7
44.8
1.0%
3.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Vandercook Lake
-47.5
1.0%
0.0%
Jonesville
0.5
-48.0
99.0%
47.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Stockbridge
-9.2
84.0%
0.0%
Vermontville Maple Valley
-28.5
19.3
16.0%
53.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
99.0%
47.0%
Southfield Bradford Academy
-72.8
49.9
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Vermontville Maple Valley
-28.5
88.0%
53.0%
Comstock
-50.6
22.1
12.0%
0.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Reading
-22.7
21.0%
54.0%
Stockbridge
-9.2
-13.5
79.0%
0.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Reading
-22.7
57.0%
54.0%
Vermontville Maple Valley
-28.5
5.8
43.0%
53.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Reading
-22.7
90.0%
54.0%
Pioneer North Central (OH)
-47.0
24.3
10.0%
0.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Elkton-Pigeon-Bay Port Laker
8.8
84.0%
44.0%
Marlette
-10.2
19.0
16.0%
23.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 8

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