Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Troy's projected record is 4.6 - 4.4

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 29, 2024 Troy
15.6
96.0%
35
Bloomfield Hills
-13.8
29.4
4.0%
7
Sept. 6, 2024 Troy
15.6
99.0%
35
Pontiac
-25.9
41.6
1.0%
0
Sept. 13, 2024 Lake Orion
46.7
96.0%
32
Troy
15.6
31.1
4.0%
0
Sept. 20, 2024 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
48.5
97.0%
52
Troy
15.6
32.9
3.0%
28
Sept. 27, 2024 Troy
15.6
65.0%
Oak Park
6.3
9.3
35.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Birmingham Seaholm
28.0
77.0%
Troy
15.6
12.4
23.0%
Oct. 10, 2024 Troy
15.6
49.0%
Farmington
17.1
-1.5
51.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Troy
15.6
84.0%
Troy Athens
-3.0
18.7
16.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 North Farmington
18.9
53.0%
Troy
15.6
3.3
47.0%

Troy's most likely first round playoff opponent is Detroit Cass Tech

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Detroit Cass Tech 8.8%
25.7
10.1
31.0%
Sterling Heights Stevenson 6.3%
37.8
22.2
12.0%
West Bloomfield 4.5%
47.2
31.5
4.0%
Rochester Adams 4.4%
53.4
37.8
1.0%
Utica Eisenhower 4.1%
64.0
48.4
1.0%
Lake Orion 3.8%
46.7
31.1
4.0%
Dearborn Fordson 3.5%
21.2
5.5
43.0%
Clarkston 2.7%
47.4
31.7
4.0%
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek 2.4%
19.8
4.1
46.0%
Dearborn 2.0%
24.6
9.0
35.0%
Rochester 1.7%
22.2
6.6
41.0%
Livonia Stevenson 1.4%
24.2
8.5
35.0%
Detroit Catholic Central 0.8%
67.6
52.0
1.0%
Romeo 0.7%
43.0
27.4
6.0%
Novi 0.6%
21.1
5.5
45.0%
Brownstown Woodhaven 0.5%
-5.2
-20.8
87.0%
Utica 0.4%
17.2
1.5
48.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.1%
17.7
2.0
48.0%
Macomb Dakota 0.1%
49.8
34.2
3.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Sterling Heights Stevenson 2.6%
37.8
22.2
12.0%
Detroit Cass Tech 2.5%
25.7
10.1
31.0%
Dearborn Fordson 1.0%
21.2
5.5
43.0%
West Bloomfield 0.9%
47.2
31.5
4.0%
Utica Eisenhower 0.7%
64.0
48.4
1.0%
Rochester Adams 0.6%
53.4
37.8
1.0%
Dearborn 0.5%
24.6
9.0
35.0%
St Clair Shores Lakeview 0.4%
17.7
2.0
48.0%
Detroit Catholic Central 0.2%
67.6
52.0
1.0%
Rochester Hills Stoney Creek 0.2%
19.8
4.1
46.0%
Rochester 0.1%
22.2
6.6
41.0%
Livonia Stevenson 0.1%
24.2
8.5
35.0%
Oxford 0.1%
49.6
33.9
3.0%
Clarkston 0.1%
47.4
31.7
4.0%
Utica 0.1%
17.2
1.5
48.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Utica Eisenhower 0.8%
64.0
48.4
1.0%
Macomb Dakota 0.4%
49.8
34.2
3.0%
Romeo 0.2%
43.0
27.4
6.0%
Grand Blanc 0.1%
32.0
16.4
19.0%
Belleville 0.1%
58.6
43.0
1.0%
Saline 0.1%
43.0
27.3
6.0%
Sterling Heights Stevenson 0.1%
37.8
22.2
12.0%
Detroit Catholic Central 0.1%
67.6
52.0
1.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Oxford 0.1%
49.6
33.9
3.0%
Rochester Adams 0.1%
53.4
37.8
1.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.

This is how Troy's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA