Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

Farmington's projected record is 5.7 - 3.3

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob. Score
Aug. 29, 2024 Farmington
17.1
73.0%
17
Oak Park
6.3
10.8
27.0%
6
Sept. 6, 2024 Farmington
17.1
87.0%
33
Holly
-3.8
20.9
13.0%
7
Sept. 13, 2024 North Farmington
18.9
52.0%
20
Farmington
17.1
1.8
48.0%
7
Sept. 20, 2024 Farmington
17.1
85.0%
36
Troy Athens
-3.0
20.2
15.0%
10
Sept. 27, 2024 Farmington
17.1
27.0%
Birmingham Seaholm
28.0
-10.9
73.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Bloomfield Hills
-13.8
4.0%
Farmington
17.1
-30.9
96.0%
Oct. 10, 2024 Troy
15.6
49.0%
Farmington
17.1
-1.5
51.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Farmington
17.1
4.0%
Lake Orion
46.7
-29.6
96.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Dearborn Heights Crestwood
-10.5
5.0%
Farmington
17.1
-27.6
95.0%

Farmington's most likely first round playoff opponent is Orchard Lake St Mary's

First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Orchard Lake St Mary's 14.1%
59.2
42.1
1.0%
Allen Park 12.6%
8.6
-8.5
65.0%
Birmingham Groves 12.4%
51.2
34.1
3.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 11.5%
17.5
0.4
50.0%
White Lake Lakeland 10.9%
19.0
1.9
48.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 7.7%
28.0
10.9
27.0%
North Farmington 6.4%
18.9
1.8
48.0%
South Lyon East 1.8%
7.0
-10.1
69.0%
Milford 1.5%
17.2
0.1
50.0%
Ferndale 0.8%
13.3
-3.8
54.0%
Dexter 0.7%
30.7
13.6
21.0%
Grosse Pointe South 0.2%
51.5
34.4
3.0%
Bloomfield Hills Brother Rice 0.2%
23.0
5.9
43.0%
Walled Lake Central 0.1%
-12.7
-29.8
96.0%
Warren Mott 0.1%
5.7
-11.4
73.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.1%
4.9
-12.2
77.0%
South Lyon 0.1%
-5.1
-22.2
88.0%
Livonia Franklin 0.1%
21.2
4.1
46.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Orchard Lake St Mary's 7.8%
59.2
42.1
1.0%
Livonia Franklin 5.0%
21.2
4.1
46.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 4.6%
17.5
0.4
50.0%
Birmingham Groves 2.7%
51.2
34.1
3.0%
Allen Park 1.2%
8.6
-8.5
65.0%
Dexter 1.2%
30.7
13.6
21.0%
White Lake Lakeland 0.8%
19.0
1.9
48.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.8%
4.9
-12.2
77.0%
North Farmington 0.6%
18.9
1.8
48.0%
South Lyon East 0.4%
7.0
-10.1
69.0%
Milford 0.3%
17.2
0.1
50.0%
Warren Mott 0.1%
5.7
-11.4
73.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 0.1%
28.0
10.9
27.0%
Ferndale 0.1%
13.3
-3.8
54.0%
Walled Lake Central 0.1%
-12.7
-29.8
96.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Orchard Lake St Mary's 4.8%
59.2
42.1
1.0%
Birmingham Groves 1.2%
51.2
34.1
3.0%
Grosse Pointe South 0.3%
51.5
34.4
3.0%
Dexter 0.2%
30.7
13.6
21.0%
Birmingham Seaholm 0.2%
28.0
10.9
27.0%
Livonia Franklin 0.2%
21.2
4.1
46.0%
White Lake Lakeland 0.1%
19.0
1.9
48.0%
Gibraltar Carlson 0.1%
17.5
0.4
50.0%
Milford 0.1%
17.2
0.1
50.0%
North Farmington 0.1%
18.9
1.8
48.0%
South Lyon East 0.1%
7.0
-10.1
69.0%
Temperance Bedford 0.1%
4.9
-12.2
77.0%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
Warren De La Salle Collegiate 0.3%
51.6
34.5
3.0%
Birmingham Groves 0.2%
51.2
34.1
3.0%
Grosse Pointe South 0.2%
51.5
34.4
3.0%
Roseville 0.2%
42.5
25.4
8.5%
First Round Opponent Odds You Play Them Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Prob.
East Lansing 0.1%
45.3
28.2
5.0%

This is how Farmington's rating has trended, relative to the rest of the MHSAA