Last updated: Sunday, September 22nd, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 6 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Jackson Lumen Christi
46.6
2.0
7.3-1.7
100.0%
98.0%
88.0%
79.0%
73.0%
63.0%
2 Ovid-Elsie
32.9
-1.0
8.1-1.0
100.0%
83.0%
53.0%
30.0%
22.0%
8.0%
3 Chesaning
30.0
-1.0
8.2-0.8
100.0%
78.0%
47.0%
23.0%
14.0%
5.0%
4 Almont
28.4
3.0
7.6-1.5
100.0%
92.0%
72.0%
64.0%
22.0%
10.0%
5 Ida
27.0
-1.0
7.6-1.5
100.0%
92.0%
55.0%
30.0%
16.0%
4.0%
6 Standish-Sterling
21.8
0.0
4.3-3.7
98.0%
57.0%
24.0%
9.0%
4.0%
1.0%
7 Kingsley
21.1
-2.0
7.4-1.6
100.0%
79.0%
51.0%
31.0%
9.0%
2.0%
8 Newaygo
18.6
1.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
66.0%
37.0%
15.0%
5.0%
1.0%
9 Reed City
18.2
2.0
5.6-3.4
100.0%
62.0%
36.0%
18.0%
4.0%
1.0%
10 Lansing Catholic
18.1
11.0
5.6-3.4
100.0%
42.0%
14.0%
5.0%
3.0%
0.0%
11 Constantine
17.2
-3.0
7.8-1.2
100.0%
59.0%
23.0%
7.0%
4.0%
1.0%
12 Olivet
17.1
2.0
7.2-1.8
100.0%
60.0%
21.0%
9.0%
5.0%
1.0%
13 Marine City
16.9
-1.0
6.9-2.1
100.0%
79.0%
32.0%
21.0%
4.0%
1.0%
14 Kent City
16.4
6.0
7.1-2.0
100.0%
51.0%
24.0%
7.0%
2.0%
1.0%
15 Central Montcalm
16.0
-2.0
6.8-2.2
98.0%
45.0%
21.0%
6.0%
3.0%
0.0%
16 Negaunee
15.1
0.0
6.7-2.3
100.0%
70.0%
36.0%
18.0%
5.0%
1.0%
17 Michigan Center
14.5
9.0
4.2-3.8
36.0%
9.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
18 Boyne City
11.3
4.0
6.0-3.0
99.0%
50.0%
24.0%
9.0%
2.0%
0.0%
19 Mason County Central
7.5
-9.0
6.2-2.8
99.0%
48.0%
18.0%
7.0%
1.0%
0.0%
20 Buchanan
5.1
5.0
5.1-4.0
28.0%
6.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Montague
4.5
-3.0
4.0-5.0
82.0%
31.0%
10.0%
3.0%
1.0%
0.0%
22 Warren Michigan Collegiate
4.1
2.0
7.0-2.0
100.0%
40.0%
11.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Mt Morris
3.4
-4.0
5.3-3.7
81.0%
14.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Hart
2.9
-9.0
3.9-4.1
22.0%
7.0%
2.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Parchment
2.6
-2.0
5.8-3.2
92.0%
15.0%
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Grass Lake
1.8
13.0
4.5-3.5
16.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Durand
1.3
-10.0
4.6-4.4
43.0%
8.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Detroit Central
-0.2
4.0
4.9-3.1
64.0%
39.0%
25.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Manistee
-0.3
-1.0
4.9-4.1
80.0%
20.0%
6.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Adrian Madison
-1.8
18.0
4.7-4.3
64.0%
11.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Grayling
-3.3
-4.0
3.2-5.8
51.0%
10.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Onsted
-4.0
-3.0
3.7-5.4
4.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Calumet
-5.6
0.0
5.3-3.7
58.0%
9.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Pinconning
-8.8
-4.0
5.5-2.5
50.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Brooklyn Columbia Central
-8.8
17.0
3.2-4.8
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Stockbridge
-9.2
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Detroit Edison
-9.4
-3.0
5.0-4.0
100.0%
58.0%
26.0%
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Detroit Pershing
-10.5
0.0
6.0-2.0
99.0%
55.0%
24.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Hillsdale
-10.7
5.0
1.4-7.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Clinton Township Clintondale
-12.4
-5.0
6.5-2.5
100.0%
7.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Sanford Meridian
-12.5
-10.0
2.7-5.3
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Dearborn Heights Robichaud
-13.5
-2.0
5.2-3.8
97.0%
29.0%
5.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Ishpeming Westwood
-16.6
-2.0
3.2-5.8
2.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Remus Chippewa Hills
-17.8
-1.0
2.2-6.8
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Gladstone
-22.6
-3.0
1.8-7.2
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
-9.0
7.8-1.2
47.0%
11.0%
1.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 Algonac
-25.0
0.0
2.0-7.0
6.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Kalkaska
-28.7
2.0
2.5-6.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Lake City
-28.7
-4.0
2.1-6.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Dearborn Advanced Tech Academy
-29.9
-4.0
5.9-3.1
21.0%
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Elk Rapids
-31.8
2.0
3.0-6.1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Watervliet
-33.0
-1.0
1.4-7.6
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Royal Oak Shrine Catholic
-36.7
-4.0
5.3-3.7
44.0%
3.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Ecorse
-38.8
2.0
1.9-7.1
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Clawson
-41.0
0.0
4.5-4.6
7.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Quincy
-41.5
1.0
0.1-8.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Caro
-42.9
2.0
1.1-7.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Detroit Osborn
-45.1
3.0
2.9-4.1
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Lutheran Westland
-47.4
-5.0
4.5-4.5
4.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Niles Brandywine
-49.1
2.0
0.5-8.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Erie Mason
-51.8
-1.0
2.5-6.5
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Madison Heights Bishop Foley
-61.7
1.0
1.1-7.9
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 6 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Sept. 27, 2024 Pinconning
-8.8
99.0%
50.0%
Farwell
-49.1
40.3
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Beaverton
-12.2
47.0%
26.0%
Pinconning
-8.8
-3.4
53.0%
50.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Pinconning
-8.8
35.0%
50.0%
To Be Determined (null)
0.0
-8.8
65.0%
0.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Pinconning
-8.8
50.0%
50.0%
Saginaw Valley Lutheran
-8.8
0.1
50.0%
0.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Houghton Lake
-19.1
69.0%
49.0%
Lake City
-28.7
9.6
31.0%
0.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Kalkaska
-28.7
8.5%
0.0%
Grayling
-3.3
-25.3
91.5%
51.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Cheboygan
-21.3
17.0%
9.0%
Grayling
-3.3
-18.0
83.0%
51.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Grayling
-3.3
97.0%
51.0%
Tawas
-36.7
33.4
3.0%
0.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Detroit Community
-53.7
4.0%
29.0%
Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
-30.8
96.0%
47.0%
Oct. 4, 2024 Jonesville
0.5
65.0%
47.0%
Brooklyn Columbia Central
-8.8
9.3
35.0%
0.0%
Oct. 11, 2024 Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
99.0%
47.0%
Melvindale Academy for Business & Tech
-67.7
44.8
1.0%
3.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Stockbridge
-9.2
84.0%
0.0%
Vermontville Maple Valley
-28.5
19.3
16.0%
53.0%
Oct. 18, 2024 Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
99.0%
47.0%
Southfield Bradford Academy
-72.8
49.9
1.0%
0.0%
Oct. 25, 2024 Hamtramck
-63.9
1.0%
0.0%
Detroit Old Redford
-23.0
-40.9
99.0%
47.0%
Sept. 27, 2024 Reading
-22.7
21.0%
54.0%
Stockbridge
-9.2
-13.5
79.0%
0.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 6

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