Last updated: Tuesday, November 12th, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 5 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
45.8
0.0
9.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
73.1%
70.4%
44.6%
2 Frankenmuth
41.4
0.0
11.0-0.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
84.9%
70.1%
36.7%
3 Grand Rapids West Catholic
38.2
0.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4 Armada
34.9
0.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
26.9%
24.1%
12.3%
5 Belding
28.7
0.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6 Grand Rapids Catholic Central
26.3
2.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
56.8%
14.7%
3.7%
7 Ogemaw Heights
24.6
-1.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8 Clare
23.9
-1.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
9 Gladwin
21.5
0.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
15.1%
7.5%
1.1%
10 Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep
20.1
2.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
43.2%
7.7%
0.9%
11 Kingsford
18.9
0.0
9.0-1.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
12 Corunna
17.6
-2.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
13 Williamston
13.7
0.0
3.0-7.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
14 Flat Rock
13.4
1.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
81.3%
5.2%
0.7%
15 Saginaw Swan Valley
13.2
-1.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16 Muskegon Oakridge
13.1
0.0
4.0-6.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
17 Detroit Country Day
10.7
1.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
18 Berrien Springs
10.6
-1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
19 Dowagiac
7.9
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Detroit Voyageur College Prep
1.1
0.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Richmond
1.1
0.0
4.0-6.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Hopkins
0.2
2.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Yale
-0.4
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Detroit Lincoln-King
-1.3
-2.0
9.0-1.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Midland Bullock Creek
-1.5
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Howard City Tri County
-1.5
0.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 South Haven
-1.5
1.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Birch Run
-2.4
-1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard
-2.8
1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
18.7%
0.2%
0.0%
30 Flint Hamady
-4.9
-1.0
5.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Houghton
-5.9
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Lake Odessa Lakewood
-6.7
1.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Romulus Summit Academy North
-7.0
-1.0
6.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Dundee
-8.8
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Detroit Denby
-9.6
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Romulus
-11.9
0.0
5.0-6.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Flint Powers Catholic
-12.4
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Milan
-12.7
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Essexville Garber
-13.2
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Whitmore Lake
-14.5
0.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Hazel Park
-17.4
0.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Comstock Park
-17.7
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Shepherd
-20.2
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Imlay City
-20.7
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Alma
-20.9
1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Cheboygan
-21.0
-1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 St Clair Shores South Lake
-22.3
0.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Grant
-22.8
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Allegan
-27.7
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Muskegon Orchard View
-29.1
1.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Monroe Jefferson
-29.7
-1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Grosse Ile
-32.5
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Livonia Clarenceville
-32.6
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Hancock
-33.4
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Bridgeport
-33.4
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Wyoming Kelloggsville
-39.2
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Detroit Cody
-39.8
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Detroit University Prep
-41.2
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Warren Lincoln
-43.9
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Benton Harbor
-49.4
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Flint Southwestern
-50.2
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 5 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Nov. 15, 2024 Flat Rock
13.4
81.0%
100.0%
Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard
-2.8
16.2
19.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
45.8
73.0%
100.0%
Armada
34.9
11.0
27.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Grand Rapids Catholic Central
26.3
57.0%
100.0%
Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep
20.1
6.2
43.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Frankenmuth
41.4
85.0%
100.0%
Gladwin
21.5
19.9
15.0%
100.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 5

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