Last updated: Tuesday, November 19th, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 5 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
47.0
0.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
96.2%
58.5%
2 Frankenmuth
42.5
0.0
12.0-0.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
80.7%
38.0%
3 Grand Rapids West Catholic
38.6
0.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
4 Armada
33.0
0.0
10.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
5 Belding
28.9
0.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6 Grand Rapids Catholic Central
26.9
0.0
8.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
19.4%
3.2%
7 Ogemaw Heights
23.7
0.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8 Clare
23.0
0.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
9 Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep
20.0
1.0
9.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
10 Gladwin
19.8
-1.0
8.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
11 Corunna
17.7
1.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
12 Kingsford
16.9
-1.0
9.0-1.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
13 Flat Rock
15.7
1.0
10.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
3.8%
0.3%
14 Williamston
14.0
-1.0
3.0-7.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
15 Muskegon Oakridge
13.3
1.0
4.0-6.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16 Saginaw Swan Valley
13.1
-1.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
17 Detroit Country Day
10.9
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
18 Berrien Springs
10.5
0.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
19 Dowagiac
7.6
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Detroit Voyageur College Prep
1.1
0.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Hopkins
0.4
1.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Richmond
-0.1
-1.0
4.0-6.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Yale
-1.3
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
24 Detroit Lincoln-King
-1.6
0.0
9.0-1.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 South Haven
-1.6
2.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Howard City Tri County
-1.8
0.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Midland Bullock Creek
-2.1
-2.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Birch Run
-2.7
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Flint Hamady
-4.7
1.0
5.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard
-5.7
-1.0
7.0-5.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Lake Odessa Lakewood
-6.8
1.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Romulus Summit Academy North
-7.2
1.0
6.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Houghton
-8.0
-2.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Dundee
-9.1
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Detroit Denby
-9.7
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Milan
-11.9
2.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Romulus
-12.2
-1.0
5.0-6.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Flint Powers Catholic
-12.5
-1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Essexville Garber
-13.2
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Whitmore Lake
-15.6
0.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 Comstock Park
-17.6
1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Hazel Park
-18.1
-1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Shepherd
-20.6
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Alma
-20.9
1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Cheboygan
-21.1
1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Imlay City
-21.7
-2.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 St Clair Shores South Lake
-22.7
0.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Grant
-23.4
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Allegan
-27.7
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Monroe Jefferson
-29.0
1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Muskegon Orchard View
-29.2
-1.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Grosse Ile
-31.8
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Livonia Clarenceville
-32.8
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Bridgeport
-33.6
1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Hancock
-35.5
-1.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Wyoming Kelloggsville
-39.3
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Detroit Cody
-40.0
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Detroit University Prep
-41.8
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Warren Lincoln
-44.4
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Benton Harbor
-49.5
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Flint Southwestern
-50.4
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 5 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Nov. 22, 2024 Pontiac Notre Dame Prep
47.0
96.0%
100.0%
Flat Rock
15.7
31.4
4.0%
100.0%
Nov. 22, 2024 Frankenmuth
42.5
81.0%
100.0%
Grand Rapids Catholic Central
26.9
15.6
19.0%
100.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 5

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