This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 5 Teams:
| Rk | Team | Gpoop Rating | 1 Week Change | Record Fcast | Make Playoffs | Win 1stRd. | Win Districts | Win Regionals | Win Semis | Win Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pontiac Notre Dame Prep | 48.5
| 3.0
| 7.4-0.6 |
100.0% |
98.0% |
78.0% |
62.0% |
54.0% |
38.0% |
| 2 | Frankenmuth | 42.4
| 1.0
| 8.4-0.6 |
100.0% |
95.0% |
71.0% |
48.0% |
36.0% |
22.0% |
| 3 | Grand Rapids West Catholic | 40.4
| -2.0
| 5.4-3.7 |
100.0% |
94.0% |
78.0% |
73.0% |
48.0% |
23.0% |
| 4 | Clare | 36.7
| -2.0
| 7.0-1.0 |
100.0% |
74.0% |
52.0% |
36.0% |
19.0% |
7.0% |
| 5 | Ogemaw Heights | 29.7
| 1.0
| 6.6-1.5 |
100.0% |
64.0% |
37.0% |
18.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
| 6 | Gladwin | 29.1
| 5.0
| 4.7-3.3 |
97.0% |
52.0% |
30.0% |
14.0% |
5.0% |
2.0% |
| 7 | Corunna | 29.1
| -2.0
| 6.6-1.4 |
100.0% |
74.0% |
31.0% |
17.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
| 8 | Armada | 28.4
| 2.0
| 7.4-1.6 |
100.0% |
91.0% |
53.0% |
29.0% |
10.0% |
4.0% |
| 9 | Grand Rapids Catholic Central | 27.1
| 13.0
| 5.5-3.5 |
100.0% |
80.0% |
19.0% |
15.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
| 10 | Williamston | 22.5
| 13.0
| 3.6-5.4 |
96.0% |
48.0% |
21.0% |
9.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
| 11 | Belding | 21.8
| 3.0
| 7.4-1.7 |
100.0% |
49.0% |
17.0% |
6.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
| 12 | Kingsford | 20.6
| 1.0
| 7.9-1.1 |
100.0% |
55.0% |
19.0% |
5.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
| 13 | Detroit Country Day | 19.8
| -6.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
63.0% |
29.0% |
16.0% |
5.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 14 | Dowagiac | 16.0
| -5.0
| 7.3-1.8 |
100.0% |
61.0% |
33.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 15 | Flat Rock | 15.1
| -7.0
| 7.6-1.4 |
100.0% |
83.0% |
66.0% |
32.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
| 16 | Kalamazoo Hackett Catholic Prep | 15.1
| -1.0
| 5.9-3.1 |
100.0% |
56.0% |
32.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 17 | Saginaw Swan Valley | 13.2
| 14.0
| 5.5-3.5 |
100.0% |
29.0% |
3.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 18 | Berrien Springs | 12.8
| -6.0
| 5.5-3.5 |
61.0% |
27.0% |
14.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 19 | Howard City Tri County | 10.7
| 0.0
| 5.4-3.6 |
96.0% |
15.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 20 | South Haven | 7.7
| -2.0
| 5.9-3.1 |
99.0% |
42.0% |
16.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 21 | Flint Hamady | 7.4
| 5.0
| 6.0-2.0 |
100.0% |
21.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 22 | Muskegon Oakridge | 7.4
| -6.0
| 3.7-5.3 |
52.0% |
6.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 23 | Hopkins | 5.7
| -6.0
| 6.0-3.0 |
96.0% |
19.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 24 | Detroit Voyageur College Prep | 4.1
| -4.0
| 7.9-1.1 |
100.0% |
62.0% |
30.0% |
8.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 25 | Midland Bullock Creek | 2.3
| -4.0
| 3.2-4.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 26 | Detroit Lincoln-King | -1.2
| -2.0
| 7.9-0.1 |
100.0% |
51.0% |
13.0% |
4.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 27 | Houghton | -1.5
| 10.0
| 4.6-4.4 |
64.0% |
8.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 28 | Ann Arbor Father Gabriel Richard | -2.5
| 4.0
| 5.3-3.7 |
96.0% |
47.0% |
20.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 29 | Birch Run | -2.8
| -2.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 30 | Romulus Summit Academy North | -4.4
| -2.0
| 7.5-1.5 |
100.0% |
44.0% |
13.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 31 | Yale | -5.2
| 14.0
| 2.9-6.1 |
7.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 32 | Richmond | -7.0
| 6.0
| 3.2-5.8 |
37.0% |
7.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 33 | Romulus | -7.7
| 6.0
| 5.6-3.4 |
100.0% |
40.0% |
14.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 34 | Lake Odessa Lakewood | -8.6
| 1.0
| 2.4-6.6 |
17.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 35 | Saginaw Valley Lutheran | -8.8
| -6.0
| 4.9-4.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 36 | Flint Powers Catholic | -10.4
| -11.0
| 4.1-4.9 |
62.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 37 | Detroit Denby | -11.7
| 9.0
| 4.9-2.1 |
11.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 38 | Comstock Park | -11.9
| -2.0
| 1.6-7.4 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 39 | Hazel Park | -12.1
| 2.0
| 6.9-2.2 |
98.0% |
26.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 40 | Milan | -12.9
| 9.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
25.0% |
8.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 41 | Dundee | -13.4
| -11.0
| 1.7-7.3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 42 | Shepherd | -13.5
| -8.0
| 1.3-6.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 43 | Whitmore Lake | -13.6
| 0.0
| 6.3-2.7 |
67.0% |
18.0% |
5.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 44 | Essexville Garber | -15.3
| -11.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 45 | St Clair Shores South Lake | -16.9
| -5.0
| 5.1-4.0 |
84.0% |
16.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 46 | Imlay City | -19.1
| -2.0
| 1.8-7.2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 47 | Cheboygan | -21.3
| 1.0
| 3.9-5.1 |
9.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 48 | Alma | -21.5
| -6.0
| 1.7-7.3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 49 | Allegan | -22.5
| -2.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 50 | Livonia Clarenceville | -28.7
| 2.0
| 2.7-6.4 |
54.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 51 | Grosse Ile | -29.3
| -1.0
| 1.2-7.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 52 | Grant | -30.9
| 1.0
| 1.6-7.4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 53 | Monroe Jefferson | -31.0
| 2.0
| 1.4-7.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 54 | Muskegon Orchard View | -31.8
| -3.0
| 1.3-7.7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 55 | Bridgeport | -36.4
| 6.0
| 1.2-7.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 56 | Wyoming Kelloggsville | -36.8
| 1.0
| 0.8-8.2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 57 | Detroit Cody | -37.1
| -1.0
| 3.8-4.2 |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 58 | Hancock | -39.4
| 2.0
| 1.2-7.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 59 | Benton Harbor | -41.7
| -5.0
| 1.5-7.5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 60 | Detroit University Prep | -42.4
| -2.0
| 0.9-8.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 61 | Warren Lincoln | -47.7
| -2.0
| 1.0-8.0 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 62 | Flint Southwestern | -53.5
| 0.0
| 1.2-7.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 5 playoff field:
| Date | Team | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Probability | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Pinconning | -8.8
| 50.0% |
50.0% |
|
| Saginaw Valley Lutheran | -8.8
| 0.1 |
50.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Cheboygan | -21.3
| 17.0% |
9.0% |
|
| Grayling | -3.3
| -18.0 |
83.0% |
51.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Muskegon Oakridge | 7.4
| 79.0% |
52.0% |
|
| Fremont | -7.1
| 14.5 |
21.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Livonia Clarenceville | -28.7
| 93.0% |
54.0% |
|
| Redford Westfield Prep | -55.2
| 26.4 |
7.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Dearborn Edsel Ford | -33.2
| 46.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Livonia Clarenceville | -28.7
| -4.4 |
54.0% |
54.0% |
|
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Birch Run | -2.8
| 46.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Durand | 1.3
| -4.1 |
54.0% |
43.0% |
|
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Hancock | -39.4
| 3.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Calumet | -5.6
| -33.8 |
97.0% |
58.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Buchanan | 5.1
| 39.0% |
28.0% |
|
| Berrien Springs | 12.8
| -7.6 |
61.0% |
61.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Benton Harbor | -41.7
| 1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Berrien Springs | 12.8
| -54.5 |
99.0% |
61.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Berrien Springs | 12.8
| 99.0% |
61.0% |
|
| Hartford | -35.9
| 48.7 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Flint Powers Catholic | -10.4
| 73.0% |
62.0% |
|
| Alma | -21.5
| 11.1 |
27.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Flint Powers Catholic | -10.4
| 21.0% |
62.0% |
|
| Bay City John Glenn | 3.6
| -14.0 |
79.0% |
30.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Flint Beecher | -64.4
| 1.0% |
1.0% |
|
| Flint Powers Catholic | -10.4
| -54.0 |
99.0% |
62.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Richmond | -7.0
| 77.0% |
37.0% |
|
| Imlay City | -19.1
| 12.1 |
23.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 10, 2024 | Detroit Country Day | 19.8
| 46.0% |
63.0% |
|
| Detroit U of D Jesuit | 23.7
| -3.9 |
54.0% |
9.0% |
These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 5