This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 4 Teams:
| Rk | Team | Gpoop Rating | 1 Week Change | Record Fcast | Make Playoffs | Win 1stRd. | Win Districts | Win Regionals | Win Semis | Win Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hudsonville Unity Christian | 48.5
| 2.0
| 7.8-1.2 |
100.0% |
84.0% |
61.0% |
42.0% |
30.0% |
20.0% |
| 2 | Ada Forest Hills Eastern | 44.3
| 6.0
| 7.0-2.0 |
100.0% |
74.0% |
54.0% |
35.0% |
18.0% |
12.0% |
| 3 | Niles | 43.4
| 2.0
| 7.1-1.9 |
100.0% |
71.0% |
42.0% |
25.0% |
16.0% |
10.0% |
| 4 | Goodrich | 43.1
| 5.0
| 6.6-1.4 |
100.0% |
92.0% |
74.0% |
60.0% |
50.0% |
28.0% |
| 5 | Paw Paw | 39.5
| -1.0
| 7.9-1.1 |
100.0% |
72.0% |
34.0% |
18.0% |
9.0% |
6.0% |
| 6 | Hamilton | 38.6
| -4.0
| 6.6-2.4 |
99.0% |
60.0% |
26.0% |
14.0% |
7.0% |
3.0% |
| 7 | Grand Rapids South Christian | 36.5
| -6.0
| 6.8-2.2 |
100.0% |
58.0% |
22.0% |
11.0% |
4.0% |
2.0% |
| 8 | Portland | 35.3
| -1.0
| 8.3-0.7 |
100.0% |
69.0% |
45.0% |
22.0% |
10.0% |
4.0% |
| 9 | Edwardsburg | 34.4
| -3.0
| 6.7-2.3 |
100.0% |
45.0% |
21.0% |
9.0% |
4.0% |
2.0% |
| 10 | Freeland | 33.2
| 15.0
| 8.2-0.8 |
95.0% |
75.0% |
38.0% |
19.0% |
10.0% |
4.0% |
| 11 | North Branch | 27.6
| 1.0
| 6.9-2.1 |
77.0% |
47.0% |
23.0% |
14.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
| 12 | Battle Creek Harper Creek | 26.9
| -2.0
| 7.6-1.4 |
100.0% |
50.0% |
22.0% |
8.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
| 13 | Big Rapids | 26.6
| 1.0
| 6.9-2.2 |
97.0% |
55.0% |
23.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 14 | Hastings | 26.3
| 16.0
| 8.2-0.8 |
100.0% |
44.0% |
17.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 15 | Chelsea | 26.2
| 7.0
| 6.8-2.2 |
100.0% |
74.0% |
37.0% |
12.0% |
8.0% |
2.0% |
| 16 | Whitehall | 26.1
| 2.0
| 5.8-3.3 |
91.0% |
39.0% |
15.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 17 | Dearborn Divine Child | 24.2
| 10.0
| 5.7-3.3 |
100.0% |
75.0% |
49.0% |
25.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
| 18 | Harper Woods | 24.1
| 5.0
| 5.5-3.5 |
100.0% |
69.0% |
43.0% |
25.0% |
7.0% |
1.0% |
| 19 | Parma Western | 22.8
| -3.0
| 6.9-2.1 |
100.0% |
59.0% |
29.0% |
6.0% |
3.0% |
1.0% |
| 20 | Croswell-Lexington | 22.6
| 8.0
| 6.8-2.2 |
98.0% |
66.0% |
40.0% |
21.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
| 21 | Haslett | 19.7
| 11.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
56.0% |
24.0% |
8.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 22 | Fowlerville | 18.6
| -9.0
| 4.5-4.5 |
46.0% |
19.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 23 | Spring Lake | 17.3
| 12.0
| 3.1-5.9 |
3.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 24 | Ludington | 17.2
| -9.0
| 6.5-2.5 |
70.0% |
24.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 25 | Ionia | 16.1
| -5.0
| 4.9-4.1 |
67.0% |
19.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 26 | Madison Heights Lamphere | 13.6
| -9.0
| 8.3-0.7 |
100.0% |
69.0% |
23.0% |
9.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 27 | Macomb Lutheran North | 13.3
| 4.0
| 6.8-2.2 |
89.0% |
34.0% |
12.0% |
4.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 28 | Holland Christian | 13.0
| -9.0
| 5.4-3.6 |
73.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 29 | Lansing Sexton | 12.7
| -3.0
| 5.4-3.6 |
78.0% |
20.0% |
6.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 30 | Vicksburg | 10.9
| 4.0
| 4.5-4.5 |
46.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 31 | Marysville | 10.8
| 2.0
| 7.2-1.8 |
100.0% |
42.0% |
12.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 32 | Tecumseh | 10.7
| 12.0
| 4.5-4.5 |
32.0% |
7.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 33 | Grand Rapids Christian | 10.6
| -22.0
| 2.5-6.5 |
6.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 34 | Pinckney | 8.2
| 2.0
| 3.5-5.5 |
6.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 35 | Three Rivers | 8.0
| -6.0
| 4.1-4.9 |
24.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 36 | Escanaba | 6.4
| 5.0
| 5.6-3.5 |
64.0% |
8.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 37 | Allendale | 5.3
| -16.0
| 1.9-7.1 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 38 | Lake Fenton | 4.9
| 4.0
| 5.1-2.9 |
64.0% |
7.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 39 | Owosso | 4.7
| -15.0
| 4.4-3.6 |
47.0% |
7.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 40 | Charlotte | 4.1
| 0.0
| 2.7-6.3 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 41 | Redford Union | 1.5
| 5.0
| 7.0-2.0 |
100.0% |
19.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 42 | Marshall | 0.2
| 1.0
| 3.4-5.7 |
11.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 43 | Ortonville Brandon | 0.0
| -6.0
| 4.3-3.7 |
37.0% |
5.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 44 | Wyoming Godwin Heights | -0.6
| -5.0
| 3.2-4.8 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 45 | Adrian | -0.7
| -7.0
| 3.5-5.5 |
15.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 46 | New Boston Huron | -3.1
| -1.0
| 4.4-4.6 |
10.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 47 | Fruitport | -3.7
| 5.0
| 4.4-4.6 |
4.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 48 | Fremont | -7.1
| 0.0
| 2.5-6.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 49 | Otsego | -7.4
| -2.0
| 1.7-7.3 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 50 | Carleton Airport | -10.0
| -1.0
| 2.7-6.3 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 51 | St Clair | -11.5
| -1.0
| 4.9-4.1 |
31.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 52 | Battle Creek Pennfield | -18.7
| 4.0
| 1.9-7.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 53 | Detroit Henry Ford | -18.8
| -2.0
| 4.8-2.2 |
64.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 54 | Center Line | -19.0
| 0.0
| 3.8-5.2 |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 55 | Harper Woods Chandler Park | -22.3
| 2.0
| 3.8-5.2 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 56 | Clio | -22.7
| -3.0
| 0.3-7.7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 57 | Detroit Southeastern | -24.7
| -2.0
| 2.8-5.2 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 58 | Pontiac | -25.9
| 1.0
| 1.7-7.4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 59 | Eaton Rapids | -31.9
| -1.0
| 0.2-8.8 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 60 | Redford Westfield Prep | -55.2
| 0.0
| 3.9-4.1 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 61 | Dearborn Heights Annapolis | -62.2
| 0.0
| 0.4-8.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 62 | Eastpointe | -69.3
| 0.0
| 0.1-8.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 4 playoff field:
| Date | Team | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Probability | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Muskegon Oakridge | 7.4
| 79.0% |
52.0% |
|
| Fremont | -7.1
| 14.5 |
21.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Owosso | 4.7
| 55.0% |
47.0% |
|
| Ortonville Brandon | 0.0
| 4.7 |
45.0% |
37.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Owosso | 4.7
| 55.0% |
47.0% |
|
| To Be Determined (null) | 0.0
| 4.7 |
45.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Fowlerville | 18.6
| 99.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Lansing Eastern | -22.9
| 41.5 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Sturgis | -34.1
| 1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Vicksburg | 10.9
| -45.0 |
99.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Fowlerville | 18.6
| 84.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Adrian | -0.7
| 19.3 |
16.0% |
15.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Plainwell | -8.1
| 16.0% |
1.0% |
|
| Vicksburg | 10.9
| -19.0 |
84.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Charlotte | 4.1
| 20.0% |
1.0% |
|
| Fowlerville | 18.6
| -14.5 |
80.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Three Rivers | 8.0
| 47.0% |
24.0% |
|
| Vicksburg | 10.9
| -2.8 |
53.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Livonia Clarenceville | -28.7
| 93.0% |
54.0% |
|
| Redford Westfield Prep | -55.2
| 26.4 |
7.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Haslett | 19.7
| 51.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Fowlerville | 18.6
| 1.1 |
49.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Ortonville Brandon | 0.0
| 89.0% |
37.0% |
|
| Clio | -22.7
| 22.6 |
11.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Ortonville Brandon | 0.0
| 50.0% |
37.0% |
|
| To Be Determined (null) | 0.0
| 0.0 |
50.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Ortonville Brandon | 0.0
| 99.0% |
37.0% |
|
| Eastpointe | -69.3
| 69.3 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Sept. 28, 2024 | Escanaba | 6.4
| 69.0% |
64.0% |
|
| Grayling | -3.3
| 9.8 |
31.0% |
51.0% |
These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 4