Last updated: Tuesday, November 12th, 2024

2024 MHSAA Football Predictions

Updated after every week.

This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 4 Teams:

Rk Team Gpoop Rating 1 Week Change Record Fcast Make Playoffs Win 1stRd. Win Districts Win Regionals Win Semis Win Finals
1 Hudsonville Unity Christian
50.2
0.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
2 Niles
46.5
0.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
58.3%
46.3%
29.6%
3 Goodrich
42.2
0.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
81.4%
65.9%
35.6%
4 Portland
39.7
0.0
11.0-0.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
41.7%
24.6%
13.5%
5 Paw Paw
36.7
0.0
8.0-2.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
6 Freeland
36.0
1.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
7 Edwardsburg
34.8
-1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
8 Ada Forest Hills Eastern
34.6
0.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
9 Whitehall
33.7
0.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
52.2%
16.3%
7.2%
10 Grand Rapids South Christian
31.5
2.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
47.8%
12.8%
4.8%
11 Harper Woods
29.4
-1.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
78.9%
22.7%
6.8%
12 Battle Creek Harper Creek
27.6
-1.0
8.0-2.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
13 Big Rapids
27.2
0.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
14 Haslett
25.7
0.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
18.6%
9.3%
2.3%
15 North Branch
21.9
0.0
6.0-3.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
16 Hastings
21.4
0.0
9.0-2.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
17 Hamilton
20.5
1.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
18 Croswell-Lexington
20.3
-1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
19 Spring Lake
19.7
1.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
20 Chelsea
18.8
-1.0
8.0-3.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
21 Ludington
16.2
1.0
7.0-3.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
22 Parma Western
16.0
-1.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
23 Macomb Lutheran North
15.1
1.0
10.0-1.0
100.0%
100.0%
100.0%
21.1%
2.1%
0.2%
24 Dearborn Divine Child
14.7
-1.0
7.0-4.0
100.0%
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
25 Lansing Sexton
12.4
0.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
26 Escanaba
11.0
1.0
5.0-4.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
27 Holland Christian
10.4
4.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
28 Ionia
9.8
2.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
29 Marysville
9.8
-2.0
8.0-2.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
30 Vicksburg
9.8
-3.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
31 Lake Fenton
9.5
-2.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
32 Charlotte
7.4
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
33 Fowlerville
6.1
1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
34 Three Rivers
6.0
-1.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
35 Grand Rapids Christian
5.5
1.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
36 Redford Union
4.1
-1.0
8.0-2.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
37 Madison Heights Lamphere
3.7
1.0
8.0-2.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
38 Pinckney
3.3
-1.0
5.0-5.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
39 Ortonville Brandon
3.1
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
40 Otsego
1.0
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
41 St Clair
-1.0
0.0
6.0-4.0
100.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
42 Tecumseh
-1.6
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
43 Adrian
-1.7
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
44 Allendale
-3.2
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
45 Owosso
-4.6
0.0
5.0-4.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
46 Carleton Airport
-5.7
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
47 New Boston Huron
-6.7
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
48 Fremont
-6.9
0.0
2.0-7.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
49 Marshall
-9.4
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
50 Fruitport
-10.0
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
51 Wyoming Godwin Heights
-11.3
0.0
3.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
52 Center Line
-18.2
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
53 Harper Woods Chandler Park
-25.2
0.0
3.0-6.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
54 Battle Creek Pennfield
-25.7
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
55 Detroit Henry Ford
-26.9
0.0
5.0-4.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
56 Detroit Southeastern
-27.2
0.0
4.0-5.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
57 Pontiac
-33.2
0.0
1.0-8.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
58 Eaton Rapids
-34.3
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
59 Clio
-37.0
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
60 Redford Westfield Prep
-47.5
0.0
3.0-4.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
61 Dearborn Heights Annapolis
-63.5
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
62 Eastpointe
-69.0
0.0
0.0-9.0
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%
0.0%

These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 4 playoff field:

Date Team Gpoop Rating Point Spread Win Probability Playoff Odds
Nov. 15, 2024 Harper Woods
29.4
79.0%
100.0%
Macomb Lutheran North
15.1
14.4
21.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Goodrich
42.2
82.0%
100.0%
Haslett
25.7
16.5
18.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Niles
46.5
59.0%
100.0%
Portland
39.7
6.8
41.0%
100.0%
Nov. 15, 2024 Whitehall
33.7
52.0%
100.0%
Grand Rapids South Christian
31.5
2.2
48.0%
100.0%

These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 4

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