This is the Gpoop Computer Model's ranking of all Division 3 Teams:
| Rk | Team | Gpoop Rating | 1 Week Change | Record Fcast | Make Playoffs | Win 1stRd. | Win Districts | Win Regionals | Win Semis | Win Finals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | DeWitt | 51.1
| 3.0
| 8.3-0.7 |
100.0% |
97.0% |
84.0% |
77.0% |
59.0% |
49.0% |
| 2 | East Grand Rapids | 41.3
| -1.0
| 6.5-2.5 |
100.0% |
83.0% |
60.0% |
31.0% |
14.0% |
9.0% |
| 3 | St Joseph | 41.3
| -1.0
| 8.1-0.9 |
100.0% |
88.0% |
53.0% |
29.0% |
12.0% |
8.0% |
| 4 | Zeeland West | 40.3
| 2.0
| 7.3-1.8 |
100.0% |
73.0% |
37.0% |
22.0% |
10.0% |
6.0% |
| 5 | Lowell | 39.5
| 0.0
| 6.4-2.6 |
100.0% |
78.0% |
41.0% |
21.0% |
9.0% |
4.0% |
| 6 | Walled Lake Western | 35.7
| 4.0
| 8.2-0.8 |
100.0% |
96.0% |
86.0% |
61.0% |
41.0% |
14.0% |
| 7 | Coopersville | 30.2
| 0.0
| 6.4-2.6 |
100.0% |
35.0% |
12.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 8 | Petoskey | 29.0
| 6.0
| 8.0-1.0 |
100.0% |
81.0% |
54.0% |
11.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
| 9 | Detroit Martin Luther King | 28.3
| 0.0
| 6.0-2.0 |
100.0% |
88.0% |
71.0% |
42.0% |
17.0% |
2.0% |
| 10 | Mason | 28.0
| 8.0
| 6.1-2.9 |
100.0% |
61.0% |
20.0% |
9.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
| 11 | Grand Rapids Forest Hills Central | 27.8
| 0.0
| 5.4-3.7 |
100.0% |
45.0% |
9.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
| 12 | St Johns | 27.6
| -9.0
| 7.4-1.6 |
100.0% |
54.0% |
19.0% |
7.0% |
2.0% |
1.0% |
| 13 | River Rouge | 24.9
| 0.0
| 4.1-3.9 |
81.0% |
63.0% |
41.0% |
23.0% |
9.0% |
1.0% |
| 14 | Greenville | 23.6
| 7.0
| 3.7-5.3 |
66.0% |
29.0% |
14.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 15 | Fenton | 22.5
| 2.0
| 6.6-1.4 |
100.0% |
74.0% |
32.0% |
10.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
| 16 | Riverview | 21.8
| -1.0
| 7.9-1.1 |
100.0% |
75.0% |
48.0% |
23.0% |
7.0% |
1.0% |
| 17 | Cedar Springs | 20.8
| 3.0
| 6.9-2.1 |
100.0% |
44.0% |
16.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 18 | Zeeland East | 20.1
| -10.0
| 3.8-5.3 |
79.0% |
11.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 19 | Auburn Hills Avondale | 19.5
| -3.0
| 6.0-3.1 |
100.0% |
71.0% |
36.0% |
14.0% |
5.0% |
0.0% |
| 20 | Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills | 18.0
| -8.0
| 3.7-5.3 |
56.0% |
13.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 21 | Jackson | 14.5
| 9.0
| 6.7-2.3 |
100.0% |
28.0% |
7.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 22 | Sparta | 13.3
| 5.0
| 2.9-6.2 |
26.0% |
4.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 23 | Wayland | 12.6
| 2.0
| 3.2-5.8 |
14.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 24 | Linden | 11.7
| 14.0
| 4.5-3.5 |
93.0% |
29.0% |
9.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 25 | Port Huron | 10.4
| 12.0
| 5.9-3.1 |
100.0% |
59.0% |
12.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 26 | Cadillac | 8.4
| 10.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
51.0% |
12.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 27 | Mount Pleasant | 7.9
| 14.0
| 4.6-4.4 |
52.0% |
16.0% |
4.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 28 | Middleville Thornapple Kellogg | 7.8
| -2.0
| 3.4-5.6 |
56.0% |
3.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 29 | Oak Park | 6.3
| 10.0
| 3.5-5.5 |
91.0% |
32.0% |
9.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 30 | Bay City Western | 3.7
| 14.0
| 3.7-5.3 |
57.0% |
12.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 31 | Bay City John Glenn | 3.6
| -12.0
| 4.4-4.6 |
30.0% |
6.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 32 | Stevensville Lakeshore | 2.7
| -3.0
| 1.9-7.1 |
6.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 33 | Ypsilanti Community | 2.1
| -2.0
| 3.1-6.0 |
27.0% |
7.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 34 | Trenton | 1.8
| 1.0
| 4.5-4.5 |
100.0% |
31.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 35 | Gaylord | 1.1
| -12.0
| 2.9-6.2 |
18.0% |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 36 | Southgate Anderson | 0.4
| -3.0
| 6.2-2.8 |
100.0% |
27.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 37 | Swartz Creek | -0.3
| 6.0
| 3.3-4.7 |
25.0% |
3.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 38 | Holly | -3.8
| 11.0
| 1.2-6.8 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 39 | Coldwater | -4.2
| -15.0
| 3.8-5.2 |
28.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 40 | Grosse Pointe North | -6.3
| -18.0
| 3.5-5.5 |
56.0% |
5.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 41 | Holland | -7.4
| -1.0
| 3.5-5.5 |
7.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 42 | Detroit East English | -8.1
| 5.0
| 2.1-4.9 |
4.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 43 | Plainwell | -8.1
| -11.0
| 1.9-7.2 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 44 | Warren Fitzgerald | -8.4
| 1.0
| 3.5-5.6 |
49.0% |
5.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 45 | Lansing Waverly | -11.3
| 7.0
| 0.4-8.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 46 | Flint Kearsley | -11.9
| -18.0
| 1.7-6.3 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 47 | Garden City | -12.1
| 1.0
| 6.4-2.6 |
99.0% |
27.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 48 | Redford Thurston | -13.3
| -6.0
| 6.6-2.4 |
100.0% |
27.0% |
1.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 49 | Jackson Northwest | -15.7
| 8.0
| 2.1-6.9 |
3.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 50 | Waterford Kettering | -17.3
| 3.0
| 1.8-7.2 |
18.0% |
2.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 51 | Bay City Central | -19.9
| -17.0
| 1.8-7.2 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 52 | Warren Woods Tower | -22.8
| -2.0
| 2.6-6.4 |
5.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 53 | Lansing Eastern | -22.9
| 3.0
| 2.0-7.0 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 54 | Bloomfield Hills Cranbrook Kingswood | -26.8
| -8.0
| 2.4-6.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 55 | Detroit University Prep Science & Math | -29.3
| -1.0
| 2.1-6.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 56 | St Clair Shores Lake Shore | -33.7
| 3.0
| 2.1-6.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 57 | Richland Gull Lake | -33.8
| 1.0
| 0.3-8.7 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 58 | Sturgis | -34.1
| -7.0
| 0.1-8.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 59 | Sault Ste Marie | -38.3
| 2.0
| 0.7-8.4 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 60 | Melvindale | -44.8
| 0.0
| 1.1-7.9 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 61 | Alpena | -46.0
| -6.0
| 0.4-8.6 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
These 15 games will have the largest impact on the Division 3 playoff field:
| Date | Team | Gpoop Rating | Point Spread | Win Probability | Playoff Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Gaylord | 1.1
| 41.0% |
18.0% |
|
| Cadillac | 8.4
| -7.3 |
59.0% |
51.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Warren Fitzgerald | -8.4
| 79.0% |
49.0% |
|
| Warren Woods Tower | -22.8
| 14.4 |
21.0% |
5.0% |
|
| Oct. 19, 2024 | Marquette | 15.2
| 59.0% |
28.0% |
|
| Cadillac | 8.4
| 6.8 |
41.0% |
51.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Bay City Central | -19.9
| 5.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Mount Pleasant | 7.9
| -27.8 |
95.0% |
52.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Fowlerville | 18.6
| 99.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Lansing Eastern | -22.9
| 41.5 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Sturgis | -34.1
| 1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Vicksburg | 10.9
| -45.0 |
99.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Plainwell | -8.1
| 16.0% |
1.0% |
|
| Vicksburg | 10.9
| -19.0 |
84.0% |
46.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Warren Woods Tower | -22.8
| 19.0% |
5.0% |
|
| Grosse Pointe North | -6.3
| -16.5 |
81.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | St Clair Shores Lake Shore | -33.7
| 6.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Grosse Pointe North | -6.3
| -27.4 |
94.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Oct. 11, 2024 | Warren Fitzgerald | -8.4
| 48.0% |
49.0% |
|
| Grosse Pointe North | -6.3
| -2.1 |
52.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Oct. 18, 2024 | Middleville Thornapple Kellogg | 7.8
| 99.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Grand Rapids Ottawa Hills | -37.1
| 44.9 |
1.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Grand Rapids Kenowa Hills | 18.0
| 55.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Sparta | 13.3
| 4.7 |
45.0% |
26.0% |
|
| Oct. 25, 2024 | Wyoming | -14.1
| 12.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Middleville Thornapple Kellogg | 7.8
| -21.9 |
88.0% |
56.0% |
|
| Oct. 4, 2024 | Mount Pleasant | 7.9
| 54.0% |
52.0% |
|
| Bay City Western | 3.7
| 4.2 |
46.0% |
57.0% |
|
| Sept. 27, 2024 | Flint Carman-Ainsworth | 3.4
| 50.0% |
0.0% |
|
| Bay City Western | 3.7
| -0.3 |
50.0% |
57.0% |
These are the 32 most likely playoff qualifiers in Division 3